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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200002

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: monthly Optimal Climate Normal Precip
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
4
0
0
4
6
0
1
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
20
16
24
60
4
0
0
4
24
16
24
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
29
0
14
43
57
0
0
57
86
0
14
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
31
25
38
94
6
0
0
6
38
25
38
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.250
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.75 0.17
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.125
true Heidke skill score: -0.089 true Heidke skill score: -0.011
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.125
true Kuipers skill score: -0.333 true Kuipers skill score: -0.012
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.267 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 -0.129
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.022 -0.057
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.733 1.000
samples: 7 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 10.94 %coverage: 100.00