CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200008

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Screening multiple regression Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
0
3
2
5
0
0
3
3
0
3
6
9

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
12
19
33
64
0
0
3
3
12
19
37
68

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
11
11
0
33
22
56
0
0
33
33
0
33
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
1
1
18
28
49
94
0
0
4
4
18
28
54
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.324
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.67 0.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.08 3.37 0.08
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.015
true Heidke skill score: 0.438 true Heidke skill score: 0.048
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.015
true Kuipers skill score: 0.583 true Kuipers skill score: 0.057
threat score:
0.000 0.600 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.297 0.081
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.400 0.250
equitable threat score:
-0.014 0.024 0.039
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.500
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.081
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.400 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.703 0.000
samples: 9 out of 68 samples: 68 out of 68
%coverage: 13.24 %coverage: 100.00