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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200111

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Screening multiple regression Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
4
61
65
0
0
1
1
0
4
62
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
6
92
98
0
0
2
2
0
6
94
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.076
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 16.25 0.02
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.386
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.002
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.386
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.016
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.062 0.016
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.001 0.001
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.016
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.938 0.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00