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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200209

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Screening multiple regression Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
4
9
15
0
0
0
0
2
4
9
15

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
14
50
67
0
0
0
0
3
14
50
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
27
60
100
0
0
0
0
13
27
60
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
4
21
75
100
0
0
0
0
4
21
75
100

hitrate: 0.267 hitrate: 0.209
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.75 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.79 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.100 Heidke skill score: -0.187
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: -0.100 Kuipers skill score: -0.187
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.267 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.209 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.733 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.791 0.000
samples: 15 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 22.39 %coverage: 100.00