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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200211

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Screening multiple regression Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
26
13
66
0
0
0
0
27
26
13
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
41
39
20
100
0
0
0
0
41
39
20
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.394
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.54 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.091
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.091
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.394 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.606 0.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00