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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200301

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: monthly Screening multiple regression Temp
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 month

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
2
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
27
13
23
63
0
0
2
2
28
13
25
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
33
0
0
33
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
67
33
0
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
41
20
35
95
0
0
3
3
42
20
38
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.242
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.04 4.85 0.08
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.136
true Heidke skill score: 1.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.046
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.136
true Kuipers skill score: 1.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.057
threat score:
1.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.036 0.206 0.080
equitable threat score:
1.000 0.000 1.000
equitable threat score:
0.021 0.012 0.051
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.036 1.000 0.080
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.794 0.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00