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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199505-199507

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
8
10
0
2
8
10

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
24
31
42
97
0
2
8
10
24
33
50
107

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
80
100
0
20
80
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
22
29
39
91
0
2
7
9
22
31
47
100

hitrate: 0.800 hitrate: 0.364
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.94 0.20
Heidke skill score: 0.700 Heidke skill score: 0.047
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.061
Kuipers skill score: 0.700 Kuipers skill score: 0.047
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.065
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.800
threat score:
0.000 0.313 0.154
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.016 0.070
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.939 0.160
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.680 0.200
samples: 10 out of 107 samples: 107 out of 107
%coverage: 9.35 %coverage: 100.00