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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199510-199512

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 5.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
8
9
34
17
8
9
34

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
23
30
70
17
8
9
34
34
31
39
104

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
24
26
100
50
24
26
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
16
22
29
67
16
8
9
33
33
30
38
100

hitrate: 0.265 hitrate: 0.308
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 3.78
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.26 0.87
Heidke skill score: -0.103 Heidke skill score: -0.038
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.023
Kuipers skill score: -0.103 Kuipers skill score: -0.038
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.023
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.265
threat score:
0.000 0.295 0.141
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.037 -0.073
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.742 0.231
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.735
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.671 0.735
samples: 34 out of 104 samples: 104 out of 104
%coverage: 32.69 %coverage: 100.00