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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199510-199512

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
6
0
14
8
6
0
14

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
26
25
39
90
8
6
0
14
34
31
39
104

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
57
43
0
100
57
43
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
24
38
87
8
6
0
13
33
30
38
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.240
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.90 0.36
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.139
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.098
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.139
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.103
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.260 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.026 -0.110
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.806 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.722 1.000
samples: 14 out of 104 samples: 104 out of 104
%coverage: 13.46 %coverage: 100.00