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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199602-199604

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
0
6
4
2
0
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
35
34
30
99
4
2
0
6
39
36
30
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
33
0
100
67
33
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
32
29
94
4
2
0
6
37
34
29
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.324
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.75 0.20
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.014
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.024
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.014
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.024
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.337 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.001 -0.050
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.944 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.657 1.000
samples: 6 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 5.71 %coverage: 100.00