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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199604-199606

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 7.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
2
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
29
37
37
103
0
0
2
2
29
37
39
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
28
35
35
98
0
0
2
2
28
35
37
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.371
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.78 0.05
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.057
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.029
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.057
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.028
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.359 0.051
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.011 0.033
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.051
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.641 0.000
samples: 2 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 1.90 %coverage: 100.00