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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199605-199607

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
0
0
4
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
28
37
36
101
0
0
4
4
28
37
40
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
35
34
96
0
0
4
4
27
35
38
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.390
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.73 0.10
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.086
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.057
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.086
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.056
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.366 0.100
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.022 0.064
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.100
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.634 0.000
samples: 4 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 3.81 %coverage: 100.00