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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199605-199607

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
28
37
37
102
0
0
3
3
28
37
40
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
35
35
97
0
0
3
3
27
35
38
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.381
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.76 0.07
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.071
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.043
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.071
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.042
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.363 0.075
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.016 0.048
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.075
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.637 0.000
samples: 3 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 2.86 %coverage: 100.00