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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199605-199607

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
8
2
1
5
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
26
36
35
97
2
1
5
8
28
37
40
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
13
63
100
25
13
63
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
34
33
92
2
1
5
8
27
35
38
100

hitrate: 0.625 hitrate: 0.390
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 1.60
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.62 0.20
Heidke skill score: 0.438 Heidke skill score: 0.086
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.056
Kuipers skill score: 0.438 Kuipers skill score: 0.086
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.054
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.625
threat score:
0.000 0.367 0.116
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.029 0.049
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.973 0.125
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.375
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.629 0.375
samples: 8 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 7.62 %coverage: 100.00