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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199605-199607

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 7.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
7
2
0
5
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
26
37
35
98
2
0
5
7
28
37
40
105

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
29
0
71
100
29
0
71
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
35
33
93
2
0
5
7
27
35
38
100

hitrate: 0.714 hitrate: 0.400
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 1.40
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.65 0.18
Heidke skill score: 0.571 Heidke skill score: 0.100
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.071
Kuipers skill score: 0.571 Kuipers skill score: 0.100
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.069
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.714
threat score:
0.000 0.378 0.119
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.039 0.059
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.125
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.286
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.622 0.286
samples: 7 out of 105 samples: 105 out of 105
%coverage: 6.67 %coverage: 100.00