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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200002-200004

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 5.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
1
0
3
19
18
23
60
0
0
0
0
21
19
23
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
67
33
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
33
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
3
2
0
5
30
29
37
95
0
0
0
0
33
30
37
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.317
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.50 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.14 3.16 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.024
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.021
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.024
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.022
threat score:
0.667 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.091 0.295 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.048 -0.002 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.095 0.947 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.333 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.333 0.700 0.000
samples: 3 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 4.76 %coverage: 100.00