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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200003-200005

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
2
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
20
29
14
63
0
0
2
2
20
29
16
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
31
45
22
97
0
0
3
3
31
45
25
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.477
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.17 0.12
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.215
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.066
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.215
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.057
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.460 0.125
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.026 0.097
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.125
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.540 0.000
samples: 2 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 3.08 %coverage: 100.00