CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200004-200006

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 5.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
6
0
2
4
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
20
15
24
59
0
2
4
6
20
17
28
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
67
100
0
33
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
31
23
37
91
0
3
6
9
31
26
43
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.292
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 1.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.47 0.21
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.021
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.062
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.023
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.667
threat score:
0.000 0.246 0.133
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.009 0.052
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.882 0.143
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.333
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.746 0.333
samples: 6 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 9.23 %coverage: 100.00