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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200004-200006

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
6
2
1
3
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
16
24
58
2
1
3
6
20
17
27
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
17
50
100
33
17
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
28
25
38
91
3
2
5
9
31
27
42
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.297
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.41 0.22
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.055
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.023
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.055
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.025
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.271 0.100
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.014 0.017
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.941 0.111
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.724 0.500
samples: 6 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 9.38 %coverage: 100.00