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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200005-200007

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
6
1
0
5
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
23
17
18
58
1
0
5
6
24
17
23
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
0
83
100
17
0
83
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
36
27
28
91
2
0
8
9
38
27
36
100

hitrate: 0.833 hitrate: 0.344
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 1.20
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.41 0.26
Heidke skill score: 0.750 Heidke skill score: 0.016
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.096
Kuipers skill score: 0.750 Kuipers skill score: 0.016
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.105
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.833
threat score:
0.000 0.293 0.208
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.037 0.130
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.217
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.167
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.707 0.167
samples: 6 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 9.38 %coverage: 100.00