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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200112-200202

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
5
4
18
9
5
4
18

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
10
3
45
9
5
4
18
41
15
7
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
28
22
100
50
28
22
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
51
16
5
71
14
8
6
29
65
24
11
100

hitrate: 0.222 hitrate: 0.222
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.00 2.57
Heidke skill score: -0.167 Heidke skill score: -0.167
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.026
Kuipers skill score: -0.167 Kuipers skill score: -0.167
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.040
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.222
threat score:
0.000 0.200 0.190
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.018 0.105
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.667 0.571
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.778
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.778 0.778
samples: 18 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 28.57 %coverage: 100.00