CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200107-200109

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Temp 11.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
7
12
27
8
7
12
27

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
3
12
22
37
8
7
12
27
11
19
34
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
30
26
44
100
30
26
44
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
5
19
34
58
13
11
19
42
17
30
53
100

hitrate: 0.444 hitrate: 0.375
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.95 0.79
Heidke skill score: 0.167 Heidke skill score: 0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.034
Kuipers skill score: 0.167 Kuipers skill score: 0.062
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.035
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.444
threat score:
0.000 0.273 0.245
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.031 -0.068
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.632 0.353
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.556
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.676 0.556
samples: 27 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 42.19 %coverage: 100.00