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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200110-200112

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Temp 6.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
5
0
0
5
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
7
51
59
0
0
5
5
1
7
56
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
11
80
92
0
0
8
8
2
11
88
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.188
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 8.43 0.09
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.219
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.022
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.219
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.082
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.119 0.089
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.010 0.012
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.089
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.881 0.000
samples: 5 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 7.81 %coverage: 100.00