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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200111-200201

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Official Categorical Temp 7.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
8
0
0
8
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
3
52
56
0
0
8
8
1
3
60
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
5
81
88
0
0
13
13
2
5
94
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.172
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 18.67 0.13
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: -0.242
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.016
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.242
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.115
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.054 0.133
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.007 0.010
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.133
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.946 0.000
samples: 8 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 12.50 %coverage: 100.00