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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199506-199508

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
1
1
1
3
2
1
3
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
14
22
54
1
1
1
3
19
15
23
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
0
33
50
17
17
17
50
33
17
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
25
39
95
2
2
2
5
33
26
40
100

hitrate: 0.167 hitrate: 0.263
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.60 0.13
Heidke skill score: -0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.105
true Heidke skill score: -0.250 true Heidke skill score: -0.010
Kuipers skill score: -0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.105
true Kuipers skill score: -0.273 true Kuipers skill score: -0.011
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.200
threat score:
0.000 0.255 0.040
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.143 -0.143
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.005 -0.009
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.333
probability of detection:
0.000 0.933 0.043
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.741 0.667
samples: 6 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 10.53 %coverage: 100.00