CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199510-199512

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
1
2
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
13
22
53
1
2
1
4
19
15
23
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
25
50
25
100
25
50
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
23
39
93
2
4
2
7
33
26
40
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.246
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.53 0.17
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: -0.132
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.038
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: -0.132
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.042
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.236 0.038
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.023 -0.025
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.867 0.043
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.755 0.750
samples: 4 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 7.02 %coverage: 100.00