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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199601-199603

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
3
2
2
7

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
2
4
14
17
20
51
2
0
0
2
16
19
22
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
29
29
57
14
0
0
14
29
0
0
29
43
29
29
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
4
4
7
25
30
35
89
4
0
0
4
28
33
39
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.298
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.33 0.50 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.25 2.68 0.09
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.053
true Heidke skill score: -0.581 true Heidke skill score: -0.050
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.053
true Kuipers skill score: -0.563 true Kuipers skill score: -0.050
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.321 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.324 -0.105 -0.167
equitable threat score:
-0.059 0.000 -0.033
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.895 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.667 1.000
samples: 7 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 12.28 %coverage: 100.00