CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199611-199701

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
3
4
2
4
1
7
2
3
0
5
5
7
4
16

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
3
4
9
14
25
48
2
3
0
5
12
17
28
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
6
0
19
25
13
25
6
44
13
19
0
31
31
44
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
5
7
16
25
44
84
4
5
0
9
21
30
49
100

hitrate: 0.312 hitrate: 0.263
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.80 1.00 1.25
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.33 2.82 0.18
Heidke skill score: -0.031 Heidke skill score: -0.105
true Heidke skill score: -0.054 true Heidke skill score: -0.066
Kuipers skill score: -0.031 Kuipers skill score: -0.105
true Kuipers skill score: -0.054 true Kuipers skill score: -0.073
threat score:
0.125 0.400 0.000
threat score:
0.067 0.275 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.037 0.135 -0.161
equitable threat score:
0.011 -0.009 -0.080
probability of detection:
0.200 0.571 0.000
probability of detection:
0.083 0.824 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.429 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.708 1.000
samples: 16 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 28.07 %coverage: 100.00