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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199611-199701

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
5
7
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
5
9

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
5
7
11
15
23
49
1
0
0
1
12
17
28
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
22
56
78
11
0
0
11
11
0
0
11
22
22
56
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
4
9
12
19
26
40
86
2
0
0
2
21
30
49
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.263
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
3.50 0.50 0.20
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.58 2.88 0.04
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.105
true Heidke skill score: -0.350 true Heidke skill score: -0.039
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.105
true Kuipers skill score: -0.438 true Kuipers skill score: -0.044
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.294 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.209 -0.080 -0.102
equitable threat score:
-0.084 0.011 -0.017
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.882 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.694 1.000
samples: 9 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 15.79 %coverage: 100.00