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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199702-199704

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
2
0
4
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
18
17
16
51
0
0
4
4
20
17
20
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
33
0
0
33
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
67
33
0
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
4
0
0
4
32
30
28
89
0
0
7
7
35
30
35
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.404
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.10 3.00 0.20
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.105
true Heidke skill score: 1.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.143
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.105
true Kuipers skill score: 1.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.150
threat score:
1.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.100 0.333 0.200
equitable threat score:
1.000 0.000 1.000
equitable threat score:
0.067 0.050 0.140
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.100 1.000 0.200
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.667 0.000
samples: 6 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 10.53 %coverage: 100.00