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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199703-199705

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
21
14
56
0
0
1
1
21
21
15
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
50
0
0
50
0
0
50
50
50
0
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
37
37
25
98
0
0
2
2
37
37
26
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.386
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.67 0.07
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.079
true Heidke skill score: 0.333 true Heidke skill score: 0.031
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.079
true Kuipers skill score: 0.500 true Kuipers skill score: 0.029
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.375 0.067
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.010 0.050
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.067
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.625 0.000
samples: 2 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 3.51 %coverage: 100.00