CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199705-199707

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
2
2
4
2
2
2
6

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
16
20
53
0
2
2
4
17
18
22
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
0
0
33
0
33
33
67
33
33
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
30
28
35
93
0
4
4
7
30
32
39
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.316
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 1.00 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.94 0.18
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: -0.026
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.007
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.026
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.007
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.291 0.083
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.200 0.250
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.019 0.020
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.889 0.091
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.698 0.500
samples: 6 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 10.53 %coverage: 100.00