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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199707-199709

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
13
28
16
57
0
0
0
0
13
28
16
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
23
49
28
100
0
0
0
0
23
49
28
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.491
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.04 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.237
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.237
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.491 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.509 0.000
samples: 1 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 1.75 %coverage: 100.00