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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199801-199803

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
1
3
5
9
40
54
0
0
0
0
5
11
41
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
67
33
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
67
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
4
2
5
9
16
70
95
0
0
0
0
9
19
72
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.158
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.60 4.91 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.263
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.036
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.263
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.068
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.161 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.034 -0.031 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.818 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.833 0.000
samples: 3 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 5.26 %coverage: 100.00