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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199802-199804

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
2
1
3
0
2
3
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
8
13
33
54
0
2
1
3
8
15
34
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
40
40
0
40
20
60
0
40
60
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
14
23
58
95
0
4
2
5
14
26
60
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.246
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 1.00 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.60 0.09
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: -0.132
true Heidke skill score: -0.667 true Heidke skill score: -0.049
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: -0.132
true Kuipers skill score: -0.667 true Kuipers skill score: -0.063
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.200
threat score:
0.000 0.232 0.028
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.250 -0.250
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.029 -0.023
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.333
probability of detection:
0.000 0.867 0.029
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.759 0.667
samples: 5 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 8.77 %coverage: 100.00