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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199807-199809

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
20
13
22
55
0
0
0
0
20
14
22
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
100
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
36
23
39
98
0
0
0
0
36
25
39
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.232
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.05 3.93 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.152
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.026
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.152
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.030
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.232 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.017 -0.018 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.929 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.764 0.000
samples: 1 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 1.79 %coverage: 100.00