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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199808-199810

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
13
22
20
55
0
0
0
0
14
22
20
56

% contingency table
fcst
obs
100
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
23
39
36
98
0
0
0
0
25
39
36
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.411
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.07 2.50 0.00
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.116
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.033
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.116
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.031
threat score:
1.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.071 0.400 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.055 0.012 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.071 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.600 0.000
samples: 1 out of 56 samples: 56 out of 56
%coverage: 1.79 %coverage: 100.00