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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199812-199902

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 7.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
5
2
1
2
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
19
19
14
52
2
1
2
5
21
20
16
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40
20
40
100
40
20
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
33
33
25
91
4
2
4
9
37
35
28
100

hitrate: 0.400 hitrate: 0.368
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 2.50
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.60 0.31
Heidke skill score: 0.100 Heidke skill score: 0.053
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.036
Kuipers skill score: 0.100 Kuipers skill score: 0.053
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.036
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.400
threat score:
0.000 0.358 0.105
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.022 0.034
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.950 0.125
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.600
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.635 0.600
samples: 5 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 8.77 %coverage: 100.00