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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199812-199902

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
1
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
1
0
2
19
18
16
53
1
1
0
2
21
20
16
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
20
20
0
40
0
0
20
20
20
20
0
40
40
40
20
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
2
0
4
33
32
28
93
2
2
0
4
37
35
28
100

hitrate: 0.200 hitrate: 0.333
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 0.50 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.10 2.65 0.12
Heidke skill score: -0.200 Heidke skill score: 0.000
true Heidke skill score: -0.176 true Heidke skill score: -0.024
Kuipers skill score: -0.200 Kuipers skill score: 0.000
true Kuipers skill score: -0.188 true Kuipers skill score: -0.024
threat score:
0.333 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.045 0.327 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.091 -0.154 -0.154
equitable threat score:
0.012 -0.016 -0.032
probability of detection:
0.500 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.048 0.900 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.500 1.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.500 0.660 1.000
samples: 5 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 8.77 %coverage: 100.00