CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199902-199904

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
25
13
56
1
0
0
1
19
25
13
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
32
44
23
98
2
0
0
2
33
44
23
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.439
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.24 0.08
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.158
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.007
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.158
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.006
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.446 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.014 -0.017
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.554 1.000
samples: 1 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 1.75 %coverage: 100.00