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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199912-200002

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
2
1
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
28
21
10
59
2
1
1
4
30
22
11
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
25
25
100
50
25
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
44
33
16
94
3
2
2
6
48
35
17
100

hitrate: 0.250 hitrate: 0.349
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 4.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.68 0.36
Heidke skill score: -0.125 Heidke skill score: 0.024
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.017
Kuipers skill score: -0.125 Kuipers skill score: 0.024
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.018
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.250
threat score:
0.000 0.350 0.071
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.010 0.023
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.955 0.091
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.750
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.644 0.750
samples: 4 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 6.35 %coverage: 100.00