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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200009-200011

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
9
34
21
64
0
0
0
0
9
35
21
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
100
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
14
52
32
98
0
0
0
0
14
54
32
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.523
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.11 1.83 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.285
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.020
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.285
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.016
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.523 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.014 -0.015 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.971 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.469 0.000
samples: 1 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 1.54 %coverage: 100.00