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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200012-200102

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
0
3
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
29
22
12
63
0
0
2
2
29
22
14
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
33
0
0
67
67
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
45
34
18
97
0
0
3
3
45
34
22
100

hitrate: 0.667 hitrate: 0.369
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 0.67
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.86 0.14
Heidke skill score: 0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.054
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.052
Kuipers skill score: 0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.054
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.054
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.667
threat score:
0.000 0.349 0.143
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.016 0.116
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.667
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.143
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.651 0.000
samples: 3 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 4.62 %coverage: 100.00