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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200104-200106

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 7.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
18
26
21
65
0
0
1
1
18
26
22
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
27
39
32
98
0
0
2
2
27
39
33
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.409
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.50 0.05
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.114
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.026
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.114
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.024
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.400 0.045
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.010 0.031
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.045
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.600 0.000
samples: 1 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 1.52 %coverage: 100.00