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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200105-200107

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 10.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0
1
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
19
24
21
64
1
0
1
2
20
24
22
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
50
0
50
100
50
0
50
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
29
36
32
97
2
0
2
3
30
36
33
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.379
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- 2.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.67 0.09
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: 0.068
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.025
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: 0.068
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.024
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.500
threat score:
0.000 0.375 0.043
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.018 0.015
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.045
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.625 0.500
samples: 2 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 3.03 %coverage: 100.00