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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200106-200108

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
5

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
3
5
17
23
21
61
0
0
0
0
17
25
24
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
40
60
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
40
60
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
3
5
8
26
35
32
92
0
0
0
0
26
38
36
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.348
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.29 2.44 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.023
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.034
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.023
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.032
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.365 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.062 -0.003 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.920 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.623 0.000
samples: 5 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 7.58 %coverage: 100.00