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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200106-200108

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
17
25
24
66
0
0
0
0
17
25
24
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
33
67
100
0
0
0
0
0
33
67
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
26
38
36
100
0
0
0
0
26
38
36
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.379
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 3.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.64 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: 0.068
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.068
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.333 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.379 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.667 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.621 0.000
samples: 3 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 4.55 %coverage: 100.00