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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200107-200109

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
0
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
0
1
4
23
21
18
62
0
0
0
0
26
21
19
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
75
0
25
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
75
0
25
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
5
0
2
6
35
32
27
94
0
0
0
0
39
32
29
100

hitrate: 0.750 hitrate: 0.364
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.33 -- 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.15 2.95 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.625 Heidke skill score: 0.045
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.060
Kuipers skill score: 0.625 Kuipers skill score: 0.045
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.062
threat score:
0.750 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.111 0.339 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.056 0.030 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.115 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.250 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.250 0.661 0.000
samples: 4 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 6.06 %coverage: 100.00