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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200107-200109

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 2.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
1
0
0
1
25
20
19
64
0
1
0
1
26
21
19
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
50
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
0
50
0
50
50
50
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
2
0
0
2
38
30
29
97
0
2
0
2
39
32
29
100

hitrate: 0.500 hitrate: 0.318
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.04 3.05 0.05
Heidke skill score: 0.250 Heidke skill score: -0.023
true Heidke skill score: 0.333 true Heidke skill score: -0.001
Kuipers skill score: 0.250 Kuipers skill score: -0.023
true Kuipers skill score: 0.500 true Kuipers skill score: -0.001
threat score:
1.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.038 0.308 0.000
equitable threat score:
1.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.024 -0.008 -0.015
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.038 0.952 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.688 1.000
samples: 2 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 3.03 %coverage: 100.00