CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200107-200109

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Canonical Corr. Analysis Precip 9.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
1
3
0
4

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
1
0
1
25
18
19
62
1
2
0
3
26
21
19
66

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
25
0
25
0
0
0
0
25
50
0
75
25
75
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
0
2
38
27
29
94
2
3
0
5
39
32
29
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.273
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.04 2.95 0.16
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.091
true Heidke skill score: -0.067 true Heidke skill score: -0.066
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.091
true Kuipers skill score: -0.167 true Kuipers skill score: -0.068
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.277 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.143 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
-0.015 -0.038 -0.041
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.857 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.710 1.000
samples: 4 out of 66 samples: 66 out of 66
%coverage: 6.06 %coverage: 100.00